Risks - Revision history

Ron at 05:24, 7 May 2008

2008-05-07T05:24:35Z

2008-01-25T11:51:14Z

The risks

2008-01-25T11:49:23Z

2008-01-25T11:47:28Z

Comparison

2008-01-25T11:45:52Z

Comparison

2008-01-25T11:44:27Z

Comparison

2008-01-25T11:42:54Z

2008-01-25T11:42:23Z

2008-01-25T11:39:39Z

2008-01-25T11:38:31Z

Relative risks of dying

@@ Line 5: / Line 5: @@
 =Relative risks of dying=
-These data are culled from a variety of official sources (National Institutes of Health in the US, and National Insurance Institute (Bituach Leumi) in Israel), and represent the years 2000-2005.
+These data are culled from a variety of official sources (National Institutes of Health in the US, and National Insurance Institute (Bituach Leumi) in Israel), and represent the years 2000-2005.  ''N.B.: today's risk (2008) of death by terrorism in Israel is much lower than it was during the period for which these data were gathered).''
 ==The risks==

@@ Line 9: / Line 9: @@
 ==The risks==
 {|
 |-
 !Cause of death
-!US Risk per 1M
+!Risk per 1M per year
 |-
 |Heart disease
@@ Line 68: / Line 71: @@
 | 0.0
 |}
 ==Comparison==

@@ Line 7: / Line 7: @@
 These data are culled from a variety of official sources (National Institutes of Health in the US, and National Insurance Institute (Bituach Leumi) in Israel), and represent the years 2000-2005.
-==USA==
+==The risks==
 {|
 |-
 !Cause of death
-!Risk per 1M
+!US Risk per 1M
 |-
 |Heart disease
@@ Line 33: / Line 34: @@
 |Traffic
 |'''156.1'''
 |-
 |Suicide
@@ Line 42: / Line 44: @@
 |Murder
 | '''62.8'''
 |-
 |HIV
@@ Line 54: / Line 57: @@
 |Terrorism
 |2.0
 |-
 |Airplane crash
@@ Line 65: / Line 69: @@
 |}
-==Israel==
 ==Comparison==

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:47, 25 January 2008
Line 85:		Line 85:
	In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence. Even there, Israel is better: the average life span is several years longer in Israel than in the US.		In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence. Even there, Israel is better: the average life span is several years longer in Israel than in the US.

−	One is ''thirty times'' more likely to be murdered in the US than in Israel (barring terrorism).	+	One is ''thirty times'' more likely to be murdered in the US than in Israel (barring terrorism). One is also twice as likely to die in a traffic accident in the US. Partly that is because the driving age is higher in Israel, and also because (in general) drunken driving is much less common.

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:45, 25 January 2008
Line 84:		Line 84:

	In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence. Even there, Israel is better: the average life span is several years longer in Israel than in the US.		In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence. Even there, Israel is better: the average life span is several years longer in Israel than in the US.
		+
		+	One is ''thirty times'' more likely to be murdered in the US than in Israel (barring terrorism).

@@ Line 81: / Line 81: @@
 ==Comparison==
-Likelihood of violent death in Israel: '''106.3''', in USA: '''220.9'''.  That is to say, one is more than twice as likely to die a violent death in the USA as compared to Israel.
+Likelihood of violent death in Israel: '''106.3''', in USA: '''220.9'''.  That is to say, one is more than twice as likely to die a violent death in the USA as compared to Israel.  This, despite the fact that the so-called "intifada" was at its peak during the years for which the statistics were compiled.
-In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence.
+In either place, the most common cause of death is disease, not violence.  Even there, Israel is better: the average life span is several years longer in Israel than in the US.

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:42, 25 January 2008
Line 1:		Line 1:
		+	__NOTOC__
	Humans are very poor at judging "relative risk". That is, we have a hard time "internalizing" the information we know is true, regarding how likely a particular event is.		Humans are very poor at judging "relative risk". That is, we have a hard time "internalizing" the information we know is true, regarding how likely a particular event is.

@@ Line 35: / Line 35: @@
 |103.6
 |-
-|Homicide
+|Murder
 | '''62.8'''
 |-